Federal lawmakers may vote on an Obamacare overhaul before the end of September. In a story outlining the fiscal impacts on state budgets, CNN‘S Chris Cillizza makes massive assumptions about how voters might respond to the bill if it passes.

The bill, known as Cassidy-Graham, would create a block grant system for supplying federal dollars to states for Medicaid. Cillizza ‘s story names state winners and losers should the proposal become law. Kansas and Missouri are among the 16 states that would see funding increases under the plan. Thirty-four states, including Iowa, Nebraska, Florida, and Wisconsin, would see cuts in federal funding.

The CNN story reads like a threat to lawmakers from the 34 states that would receive slightly less funding over the next decade. He warns Republican politicians specifically in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Colorado, and Michigan.

“Those are all states Trump won in 2016–and states he would need to win again in 2020. There are also a slew of competitive House and Senate races in those states in 2018. If, for example, Republicans suffered major losses in their House ranks in Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan, their majority in the House could be at stake,” he writes.

He concludes that the legislation could be a pivot point in the battle for Congress next September, “and not in a good way for Republicans.”

He all but ignores a commonly-held belief that Republicans first won the House based on promises to overturn Obamacare. Republicans won the Senate when it became apparent the House couldn’t do it alone, and in 2016, voters gave Republicans the White House, too.

Sen. Pat Roberts signaled he will support the Cassidy-Graham legislation for exactly that reason.

“If we do nothing, it has a tremendous impact on the 2018 elections and whether or not Republicans still maintain control and we have the gavel,” he said.

Missouri Sen. Roy Blunt also plans to support the Obamacare overhaul.

He tweeted he is proud to support the bill that will provide better health care for Missourians.

If it reaches the Senate floor, it is likely to be a tight vote, and Sen. Lindsey Graham, one of the bill’s authors, publicly singled out Missouri, telling reporters a vote against the bill will be a “tough no” for Democratic Senators in states like the Show-Me State that didn’t expand Medicaid. Sen. Claire McCaskill, a Missouri Democrat, hasn’t said how she’ll vote on the bill. Neither has Kansas Sen. Jerry Moran, a Republican. Kansas didn’t expand Medicaid, but Moran told Roll Call, a D.C. publication, that he continues to have conversations about the bill with constituents and colleagues.





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